Credit cards and the option to default

Using Credit Cards to Streamline the Use of Resources

Loss given default models incorporating macroeconomic variables for credit cards

Based onUKdata formajor retail credit cards,we build severalmodels of Loss GivenDefault based on account level data, including Tobit, a decision tree model, a Beta and fractional logit transformation. We find that Ordinary Least Squares models with macroeconomic variables perform best for forecasting Loss Given Default at the account and portfolio levels on independent hold-out data sets. The i...

Pricing Credit Default Swaps with Option-Implied Volatility

Using the industry benchmark CreditGrades model to analyze credit default swap (CDS) spreads across a large number of companies during the 2007–09 credit crisis, the authors demonstrate that the performance of the model can be significantly improved by calibrating it with option-implied volatility rather than with historical volatility. Moreover, the advantage of using option-implied volatility...

Credit cards and inflation

The introduction (and widespread use) of credit cards increases trading efficiency but, by also increasing the velocity of money, it causes massive inflation, in the absence of monetary intervention. If the monetary authority attempts to restore pre-credit card price levels by reducing the money supply, it will have to sacrifice all the efficiency gains. When there is default on credit cards, t...

Valuation of Credit Default Swaptions and Credit Default Index Swaptions